Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 7.018689 7.762426 8.589626 9.585350 10.761538 12.119581 13.825429
2025-02-02 6.194113 7.262899 8.563764 10.298317 12.606887 15.662606 20.179979
2025-02-09 5.638924 6.867198 8.454584 10.728859 14.038141 18.927591 27.275337
2025-02-16 5.124774 6.408879 8.140981 10.758394 14.840247 21.443303 34.266240
2025-02-23 4.822911 6.176184 8.073876 11.088227 16.117564 25.047966 45.067086
2025-03-02 4.384962 5.698033 7.584481 10.678052 16.074910 26.295294 51.787078
2025-03-09 4.056436 5.340628 7.226411 10.411020 16.205544 27.893319 60.480896
2025-03-16 3.811135 5.080459 6.983870 10.291478 16.567971 30.082001 72.714859
2025-03-23 3.699432 5.007174 7.019582 10.644745 17.908090 34.990252 99.668322
2025-03-30 3.460985 4.720972 6.685866 10.292677 17.732715 36.112397 113.851238
2025-04-06 3.241533 4.449460 6.353619 9.903284 17.405038 36.732361 127.128846
2025-04-13 3.054406 4.217132 6.068605 9.570569 17.144720 37.476698 143.030008
2025-04-20 2.913282 4.062192 5.923309 9.532667 17.662180 41.170556 191.241851
2025-04-27 2.899458 4.112773 6.138151 10.245711 20.217276 53.597886 403.840093
2025-05-04 2.839986 4.082659 6.206805 10.673223 22.221050 66.389911 929.400897
2025-05-11 2.731429 3.961641 6.098127 10.702542 23.146102 75.753480 2085.594479
2025-05-18 2.669858 3.915449 6.122168 11.029830 25.087389 93.511286 15326.426851
2025-05-25 2.526301 3.718455 5.844487 10.622814 24.585690 96.108584 71069.132319
2025-06-01 2.410651 3.563966 5.637314 10.357809 24.497405 101.827822 NaN
2025-06-08 2.320364 3.449095 5.498345 10.239166 24.888695 112.203839 NaN
2025-06-15 2.286429 3.431736 5.548298 10.589762 27.102874 144.145267 NaN
2025-06-22 2.183833 3.285771 5.331368 10.240356 26.566607 148.014115 NaN
2025-06-29 2.084076 3.140799 5.108370 9.853857 25.799847 148.452038 NaN